Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002196 0.002319 0.002450 0.002599 0.002766 0.002948 0.003162
2025-02-16 0.002003 0.002173 0.002361 0.002590 0.002862 0.003181 0.003591
2025-02-23 0.001905 0.002110 0.002347 0.002648 0.003027 0.003504 0.004171
2025-03-02 0.001789 0.002009 0.002272 0.002618 0.003072 0.003674 0.004580
2025-03-09 0.001684 0.001912 0.002189 0.002562 0.003071 0.003775 0.004903
2025-03-16 0.001640 0.001884 0.002187 0.002609 0.003206 0.004081 0.005601
2025-03-23 0.001598 0.001854 0.002179 0.002642 0.003324 0.004374 0.006361
2025-03-30 0.001539 0.001797 0.002131 0.002615 0.003347 0.004520 0.006895
2025-04-06 0.001472 0.001727 0.002059 0.002548 0.003300 0.004541 0.007181
2025-04-13 0.001424 0.001679 0.002016 0.002518 0.003308 0.004655 0.007709
2025-04-20 0.001347 0.001590 0.001911 0.002392 0.003150 0.004451 0.007437
2025-04-27 0.001318 0.001563 0.001891 0.002389 0.003192 0.004620 0.008136
2025-05-04 0.001303 0.001557 0.001902 0.002437 0.003330 0.005007 0.009664
2025-05-11 0.001275 0.001532 0.001885 0.002441 0.003394 0.005265 0.011034
2025-05-18 0.001264 0.001530 0.001900 0.002497 0.003557 0.005777 0.013885
2025-05-25 0.001231 0.001496 0.001867 0.002472 0.003566 0.005941 0.015560
2025-06-01 0.001194 0.001454 0.001820 0.002422 0.003525 0.005973 0.016663
2025-06-08 0.001184 0.001450 0.001829 0.002465 0.003666 0.006508 0.022037
2025-06-15 0.001171 0.001441 0.001831 0.002495 0.003787 0.007033 0.030104
2025-06-22 0.001145 0.001413 0.001802 0.002471 0.003792 0.007224 0.036341
2025-06-29 0.001112 0.001374 0.001754 0.002410 0.003712 0.007138 0.038276
2025-07-06 0.001089 0.001348 0.001726 0.002383 0.003705 0.007283 0.046438
2025-07-13 0.001046 0.001292 0.001651 0.002268 0.003498 0.006739 0.036686